Bracket Projections as of March 5, 2015

I honestly didn’t move UC up very much after their win at Tulsa, but I think they are now on very solid ground.  The reason I didn’t move them up much is two of the teams I thought of moving UC above both beat UC head to head, one on a neutral site (Ole Miss) and one on UC’s home floor (Xavier).  That won’t matter much if UC’s resume is clearly better than both teams, but right now I don’t know that this is the case.  UC may have a marginally better overall body of work, but it’s close enough that I am still letting head to head come into play.  Here’s the bracket as I see it as of this morning:

Midwest	South	East	West
1. Kentucky	Duke	Virginia	Arizona
2. Wisconsin	Kansas	Villanova	Gonzaga
3. Wichita State	Baylor	Utah	Iowa State
4. Notre Dame	Maryland	North Carolina	Oklahoma
5. Northern Iowa	Louisville	West Virginia	Arkansas
6. Butler	SMU	Providence	Georgetown
7. St Johns	Georgia	Iowa	SD State
8. Oklahoma State	Indiana	VCU	Michigan State
9. Xavier	Dayton	Purdue	Boise State
10. Cincinnati	Ohio State	LSU	Ole Miss
11. Illinois	Colo St / A&M	NC State	Oregon
12.  Temple/ Old D	Louisiana Tech	Iona	Wofford
13.  Murray State	NC Central	Harvard	Central Mich
14.  S. Dakota St	Stephen F. Austin	Bucknell	New Mexico State
15.  Valpo	North Florida	UNCW	High Point
16. Albana / UC Davis	St Francis	Texas S / Sacr St	Georgia Southern

Last Four in: Colorado State, Texas A&M, Temple, Old Dominion

First Five Out:  Texas, Pitt, Tulsa, BYU, Davidson