Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Tuesday (Championship Week) Bracket Projection


One Seeds:         Kansas, Gonzaga, Dayton, Baylor
Two Seeds:         San Diego State, Creighton, Florida State, Duke
Three Seeds:     Kentucky, Michigan State, Seton Hall, Oregon
Four Seeds:        Wisconsin, Villanova, Louisville, Maryland
Five Seeds:         Ohio State, Penn State, Auburn, Butler
Six Seeds:            BYU, Illinois, Houston, Colorado
Seven Seeds:     West Virginia, Iowa, Virginia, St Marys,
Eight Seeds:       Arizona, Michigan, Providence, USC
Nine Seeds:        Marquette, Florida, LSU, Stanford
Ten Seeds:          Oklahoma, ETSU, UCLA, Arizona State,
11 Seeds:             Utah State, Rutgers, Cincinnati, Indiana/Xavier
12 Seeds:             Texas Tech/NC State, Stephen F. Austin, Yale, Liberty
13 Seeds:             Akron, Vermont, Louisiana Tech, Belmont
14 Seeds:             UC Irvine, NM State, Colgate, NKU
15 Seeds:             Hofstra, ND State, Eastern Washington, Little Rock
16 Seeds:             Winthrop, Bradley, Siena/NC A&T, Prairie View A&M/St Francis (PA)

Last 4 In:  Indiana, Xavier, Texas Tech, NC State
First Four Out:  Richmond, Texas, Mississippi State, Wichita State
Next Four Out:  Purdue, Northern Iowa, Saint Louis, South Carolina
Others Considered: Memphis, Arkansas, Rhode Island, Alabama, Tennessee, Syracuse, Tulsa

I have 35 teams I think are definitely in the tournament as of today (not including teams that have already won their at large bids).  Those are every team seeded on the first 8 seed lines, plus every nine seed except Stanford.  I think Stanford, Oklahoma, Arizona State and Rutgers are likely to be in as well, but I’m not willing to put it at the likelihood of the other 35. 

That leaves 10 teams I think the committee could theoretically choose as of today for the remaining 6 spots.  Those teams are:  UCLA, Cincinnati, Indiana, Xavier, Texas Tech, NC State, Richmond, Texas, Mississippi State and Wichita State.  I think 6 of those 10 would be in today.  I have my prediction of who would, but I could see justifications for going with the others.

Everyone else listed I think would be out as of today, though some others could theoretically make a run at it in their conference tournaments.   

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